Las Vegas Wise Guys sports betting advice explains how our experts proven winning sports betting system beat sportsbooks consistently in every major sport. Sports betting gives everyone the best opportunity to make more money then any other investments. Plain and simple, you have a 50/50 chance to win any wager with no math involved, it will either win or it won't. But when you wager on solid plays with a serious mathematical edge, your winning percentage will go up dramatically to 80 percent or more on certain plays. Our sports service has never kept it a secret why all our experts win in every major sport. They always take the same side sportsbooks really need to win whenever a majority of the public is on the opposite side of the sportsbooks. This works great year after year in each sport. Whether its a miracle or its cheating, somehow sportsbooks always win at a extremely high percentage when the public is on one side.
Success in sports betting begins with proper money management. Professionals start with a bankroll and then usually wager around two percent on each game. Pros rarely hammer games because its not worth risking so much of their bankroll when it's not even possible to win them all. Every player whether pro or novice win and lose in streaks and thats why using proper money management is one of the most important rules you should follow. Unless of coarse, you are really lucky and always happen to win every play you load up on. If that's the case, go ahead and swing away. Seriously, if you want to get paid like the pros, you have to bet like a pro, otherwise you're just gambling.
Taking calculated risks to win money is what sports betting is really all about. But those taking wild risks and bet their entire bankroll on someones one million star can't lose game of the year, most likely will need to have a back up plan. Murphy's law "anything can and will happen" seems real, especially when it comes to gambling. Far too often it's just one key play in each game that really makes the difference of covering or not, for this reason, sometimes you can have the right side and still get jacked. Loading up is the main mistake most novice players make. It's possible to finish a season with a winning record and still lose money, if you did not wager the same amount on each game or lost some games you hammered. Stick with proper money management and wager the same amount on each play, then when you win more games then you lose at the end of any season, you guarantee yourself a profit.
Bad Money Management Skills Can Cause More Losses Then Poor Handicapping...
Everyone has witnessed someone have a dream season and win a ton of money during a certain sport only to give it back to the sportsbook by betting it all on the final game of the year like the Superbowl or whatever. Heres some other examples.
(Raising wager amounts): It's week one of the season and gambler #1 makes five wagers of $110 and goes 4-1. Therefore, in week 2 he makes six wagers of $220 and only goes 2-4. Overall, gambler #1 has lost $190 despite going 6-5 (54.5%).
(Lowering Wager Amounts): Gambler #2 makes six plays of $110 in week #1 and goes 2-4. Due to losses from week #1 he lowers the amount wagered per game in week #2 and makes five plays of $55 on each game and goes 4-1. Overall, gambler #2 has lost $95 despite going 6-5 (54.5%). Gambler #2 would be up $110 instead of being down $95 if he only bet the same amount on each game.
(Taking Big Risks): Gambler #3 loves to risk it all for big rewards. Gambler #3 starts with a $1500 bankroll and has decided to load up and hammer games. He bets $1100 and risks most of his bankroll on the first game, which Wins. Then he wagers $2200 on the next game, which also Wins, now his balance is $4500 (counting the $300 in his bankroll not used yet.) Feeling really lucky, he bets his whole bankroll on a game that looks fantastic and it Wins. Bringing his balance to $8200. He makes the decision to risk everything he won so far on what looks like possibly the easiest money of the year. This time luck wasn't on his side and Loses $8200. Gambler #3 has a balance of only $300 in his bankroll despite going 3-1 (75% winning rate)
(Chasing Losses): Gambler #4 has a bankroll of $5,000. He wagers $550 on a game and loses. Frustrated from losing the game he wagers $1100 on a second game and loses again. Now enraged, he raises his wager amount to $2200 and loses again. He's now lost $3850. Now with a smaller bankroll he ends up risking it all on another game hoping to get some back. He loses the fourth game and has now lost his bankroll. Gambler #4 is faced with two choices, reload his bankroll with more money or stop playing. Losing streaks do happen to everyone, no matter how good they are. Don't chase losses with bigger bets. Proper money management can't make any players win at a higher percentage, but it will make any bankroll last long enough to give yourself more opportunity's to make money. Keeping your wagers to a consistent amount on every game is the key to success in this industry.
Take Your Profits...
Players must learn to take back profits. That’s what we explain to our members during each season, it's important to take back your profits and only use the bankroll you started the season with when your up big. (It doesn't matter if it's the 2nd month or the middle of the season when you take your profits) Doing this also guarantees you another successful season and all the profit you've taken out can't be given back to sportsbooks, no matter what, even if you trade money back and fourth the rest of the season or even lose more games then you win the rest of the way.
Parlay Players Versus Sportsbooks...
Lets look at who has the advantage on parlays. Sportsbooks actually call those parlays a suckers bet. Infact some major Las Vegas sportsbooks have their ticket writers hand a loli pop to anyone betting a parlay, that's their way of calling someone a sucker.
On paper the advantage goes to sportsbooks since they make such huge profits from parlays players. Sportsbooks know $50 parlays here and $100 parlays there, add up to huge losses for those betting parleys. Straight bets win more often, but each parlay player has one huge advantage, they can get it wrong many times, but they only have to get it right one time to make a fortune!
There are fantastic parlays offered at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Years ago there used to be million dollar parlays, they decided to stop rolling the dice on those. One high paying parlay is a 20 teamer for only five bucks, it pays $100,000. You need plenty of luck to win a 20 teamer, although over the years it's been won by lots of players. Obviously, you don’t have to play 20 team parlays to make huge profits, other parlays pay well also. Winning the lottery is hard, yet see multi winners each year, proving the point, you only need to get lucky once when gambling for high stakes!
Quality Sports Handicapping Programs...
Try and listen to the programs that factor in the pointspread: The Stardust line show was the first and the best ever. Leroy's sports hour is good. It's run by a local sportsbook called Leroy's. The show is hosted by John Kelly & Jimmy Vacarro. Kelly is the best sports radio host around. Vaccaro is a former bookmaker for the legendary Steve Wynn and really knows his stuff. Bluebook sports with Gary Greene is also good by providing solid sports betting trends. Know matter how long you've been betting on sports, you can always learn something new from these type of quality shows or atleast hear some vital gambling info such as severe weather for certain games or a teams star player may be out way before its even posted on the internet, televison or newspapers. These are world class radio shows geared toward the serious sports bettor that depends on quality gambling information.
Don't Listen to the Media...
Commentating on television doesn't make reporters expert handicappers, they rarely even factor in the pointspread. They are really only providing their own opinion then reporting the facts. Nearly every reporter think they have inside information when they report on sporting events, yet they are almost always wrong. Here are some examples: Most said the Raiders had far too much offense for the Bucs in the 2002 Super Bowl, the Bucs won. They said the Patriots defense would shut down the Panthers in 2003 Super Bowl, Panthers covered. Most said the Yankees would beat the Marlins in the 2003 World Series, the Marlins won. How about the 2004 MLB season, St. Louis was the best team all season long and were huge favorites to win the World Series against the Red Sox, because for many decades most really believed Boston was cursed. However Boston did win the World Series. The 2004 national championship between USC and Oklahoma is a great example. Every handicapper that gave a opinion said the oddsmaker made a mistake by posting USC as the favorite. We heard it so often we thought we were going to lose the game and it was too late to change our minds, we already bet USC-3 and released it to our members. Long story short, USC beat the hell out of Oklahoma. Theres been so many examples over the years we could have shown, but then this would look more like a novel then an advice page. Lesson learned... bet against the media and public sides on big games.
Sportsbooks are Billion Dollar Corporations for a Reason...
Sportsbooks make billions by beating 95% of the public consistently. They win by using many smart tactics like adding the extra half point to the spread of favorites. They call those .5 points a hook because those little half points actually comes into play thousands of times every year in each sport. Serious sports bettors always buy off any .5 hooks when they are added to a favorite they are going to bet on. Every player should buy the hook off, it's only ten dollars per hundred wagered. Buying the hook off is like a good insurance policy since those half points are the difference between a push or losing. Theres really nothing worse then letting sportsbooks beat you out of your money all because of a half point. You never see us give up any half point on any side or total. Offshore sportsbooks allow players to buy off any half point, even on key numbers and accept much higher limit wagers from high rollers and also post their lines way before Las Vegas sportsbooks. Professional players like betting with offshore sportsbooks for these reasons.
Sportsbooks have one disadvantage, they have to post lines on every single game. Whenever there are hundreds of games on the betting board, it's not possible for them to be accurate on every line. Players have the edge because they don’t have to bet every game, players can look for certain plays with some kind of edge. The books really don't have the option to sit out games.
Choose Sportsbooks Wisely...
Always choose online sportsbooks carefully, many small ones have folded up in the middle of the night and took their clients money with them. Choose only reputable sportsbooks that have withstood the tests of time like top Las Vegas sportsbooks have. Some online sportsbooks like bet365 offer -1 baseball lines, it's better then laying 1 1/2 runs and cost far less then moneylines. Bet365 has been around since 1974 out of England. If your a underdog player you should join bodog.com since their lines are usually a couple points higher then anyone else around.
The best offshore sportsbooks are pinnaclesports.com, bookmaker.com, betus.com. They post lines days before any other sportsbooks. That gives the serious sports bettors the chance to wager on games before any major line moves take place. All the other sportsbooks wait to see where the money is going overnight before posting their own lines in the morning.
10 Proven Keys to Wealth...
#1. Make a plan and stick with it.
#2. Surround yourself with smart people.
#3. Only use proven companys that share the same goals as yourself.
#4. You must take calculated risks to achieve wealth.
#5. Success can only be obtained from many wise decisions.
#6. Accept there are obsticles on the road to success, no one can reach the top in one leap, it takes many steps.
#7. Don't lose focus on setbacks and instead learn from previous mistakes as lessons of what does not work.
#8. Money management is the key to success with any kind of investing.
#9. Stay on the same side sportsbooks really need to win, when the public is on the opposite side.
#10. Every decision you make in life determains your destiny, each choice takes you on the right path or the other.
Sportsbooks Official Rules...
All games are required to go a certain length of time and are only official after:
. Football - NCAA & NFL - 55 minutes of play
. Basketball - NBA - 43 minutes of play
. Basketball - NCAA - 35 minutes of play
. Hockey - NHL - 55 minutes of play
. Baseball - Major League baseball games are official after 5 innings of play or 4.5 innings if home team is leading. If a game is subsequently called or suspended, the winner is determined by the score after the last full inning unless the home team ties the score or takes the lead in the bottom half of the inning in which the game was suspended. The winner will then be determined by the score when the game is called. (This rule holds for betting purposes even if the game is suspended and /or completed on a different day than the event began)
. MLB Baseball Totals - When wagering on total runs or run lines, the game must go the regulation 9 innings, or 8.5 innings if the home team is leading, otherwise it will constitute a "No Action" wager, and all money will be credited accordingly.
. All other sporting events - 55 minutes of play
. Overtime periods, quarters or extra innings are counted in the final score when wagering on totals, money line and spread betting.
. On half time wagers, overtime periods are included as part of the 2nd half.
. Other Sports: All other contests that involve a scheduled length of play or time limit must play to their conclusion or have five minutes or less of the scheduled playing time remaining whenever the contest concludes to be considered official for wagering purposes.
Sportsbooks use Psychology to Beat Sports Bettors...
Look at the facts. If all you had to do is bet the good teams against bad teams to win money, every sportsbook would get crushed daily and those mega gaming resorts would go out of business fast. Offshore sportsbooks win so much, they provide stats and trends for every single game right on their websites for anyone to use and try to beat them. Sportsbooks know those stats and trends are not going to beat them consistently enough against the spread or they would not provide them.
If you think sportsbooks have been making record profits the last few years, your right. It's all due to the newest oddsmaker taking over. His name is Ken White and he has been making rock solid lines since he took over as the top oddsmaker in the country. For many years the top oddsmaker was Roxy Roxborough. Roxy was very good, but he was not a gambler, he was a number cruncher. Every oddsmaker before Ken came along use to juice up many lines on purpose, they understood most the public would bet favorites know matter what, that made it pretty simple for all of us that do this for a living to find easy winners. Ken White will rarely post bad lines, which makes it a little more work for professional players compared to the past oddsmakers. What Ken is doing is not rocket science, but it is very smart, he is posting some lines that are too accurate on certain games, making no advantage to taking either side which forces every pro to pass on those or else risk relying more on luck then skill to win those certain type of wagers. Ken isn't just another numbers man, he was a successful professional sports bettor years before becoming the top oddsmaker in the country for every major sportsbook, that's a big deal since knowing exactly which side most pros will bet, assists him in making the opening betting lines.
There's a lot of effort that is put into making the pointspread. The oddsmaker has an elite team of advisors most professional bettors call the "Murderers Row." They provide key information such as power ratings, matchups, key injuries, bad weather, history, stats, jetlag, and much more. The oddsmakers make some betting lines by predicting which way the public is going to bet by using psychology, they understand human nature "Most behave and think logically with great similarity" and most are swayed very easily by what they just seen or heard, especially when it comes to major sporting events. The sportsbooks know there is a system that works for everything. The pointspread is made using a combination of a winning formula of math and psychology, which continues to withstand the test of time. Sportsbooks prove how good their system works every year by making billions. Betting lines are only adjusted at each sportsbook when too much money from the public is on one side.
Bet Like The Pros...
Try to find out exactly how the oddsmaker came up with the lines on the games you're betting like most professional sports services, or you won't know for sure if each line is even accurate. Thers are times when sportsbooks post the wrong team as the favorite because most bet on favorites. Many novice bettors tend to make their decision for their next plays by what they had just seen without handicapping the teams next opponent. It's possible the team they are playing next always seems to have their number and beats them every time. Always check team schedules to make sure any teams your betting next is not in a major flat spot, because they're coming off an enormous win, especially if they were not even expected to win their last game. Another serious flat spot is when a team looks past their next opponent all because the game after is much more important to them. Keep in mind, no team can possibly get pumped up for every single game. However, teams get fired up when playing in revenge games.
Sportsbooks call those that bet on favorites a square. They act as if betting only underdogs every single time really works better. The truth is, underdogs don't win anymore consistently against the spread then betting favorites. The key is picking your spots and look for only solid plays where you find value in any lines that gives you a better than average chance to win you wagers whether favorites or underdogs. Playing underdogs with a good chance to possibly win the game straight up is smart. Pro teams tend to play closer to the pointspread due to being on a level playing field because of equal talent. Any pro team can beat another on any given day. Your best bet is finding mismatches with top college teams, because unlike the pro teams, college teams count on votes and therefore need to impress pollsters to get ranked. Every top ranked team always attempt to run up the score in order to move up in polls. On the other hand, counting on garbage teams to get you paid, can get you taken to the cleaners. We find that handicapping a handful of teams in a couple divisions works far better then trying to handicap every single team in the entire league. Learning each teams strength and weakness will give you a serious edge when those teams matchup. Look for any team thats nearly unbeatable when playing at home but are not competitive on the road. Bet against those teams when they go on the road after coming off a home win and vice versa.
Sportsbook have different lines so try and shop around, because most times just getting the best line is all the difference you really need to win. Since getting the best number means everything, serious players have betting accounts at many different sportsbooks in order to get the best lines possible.
Las Vegas Wise Guys experts suggest betting favorites early as possible since the public will usually play favorites and move the betting lines. Bet on underdogs late to get the best lines. Every season is always very different, which means most times everyone must adjust the way they handicap games on the fly to beat sportsbooks. When the current betting system you use stops winning consistently enough during any season, it's important to change the way you handicap for atleast a little while, just to give yourself every possible opportunity to win back any losses. For free sports picks check out our boxing and sports winners sections. Remember to always bet like a pro and you will be way ahead of the game!
"Wishing all your wagers be Victorious!"
-Wise Guys
